This alert expired on 10 August 2026 at 22:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 48 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 5:13PM EDT until August 10 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
An estimated 64,154 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 18, 2026 · score 39 · 8.8 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 39 · 18.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 39 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 38.0408, -77.9320 |
| Nearest City | Charlottesville (48 km) |
| Population Exposed | 64.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-10T21:13:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5693d2d70742b563b4e47b2e352917d5 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Amelia, VA; Chesterfield, VA; Cumberland, VA; Lunenburg, VA; Nottoway, VA; Powhatan, VA; Prince Edward, VA; District of Columbia, DC; Prince Georges, MD; Arlington, VA; Fairfax, VA; City of Alexandria, VA; Appomattox, VA; Campbell, VA; Charlotte, VA; Halifax, VA; Pittsylvania, VA and 8 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 5:13PM EDT until August 10 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-08-10T18:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 11 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5693d2d70742b563b4e47b2e352917d5f8bcb572.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d199e47b8ba67ca63a7cd9ef2481ae804c30f4a0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c40cb7438659ef3843b5adafada8f838c094de9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.db6799b23f2497dc9c3b4ec26e28a219c186204d.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8a371b942a625e5197ac53e8c7d08c448bc66043.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5b7ebf976d4ea00cfa74056506cc0ee26a89b674.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.288e403b56d7926a85d5f767ef48133c69cd9fd8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1e9375f90bc7b31111b0585b48638475e837430.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.97ac521e3c34a307b36d98ff0ff79b556d51b1fb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e2cb7678a7d4573e12b160c2071dd7d4654ea4f4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c22e1503afab9229e40021239287703187401b87.002.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.